IFL Week 16 Picks
- Trey
- 19 hours ago
- 6 min read
IN-DOOR WAR AREYOUREADYFORTHAT
IN-DOOR WAR AREYOUREADYFORTHAT
IN-DOOR WAR AREYOUREADYFORTHAT
Folks, we are in the final countdown of the season. Playoff races are in full swing and every game is going to be critical for teams moving forward. We've got a fun slate of in-conference as well as a banger of a Sunday Night Game that very well could be a National Championship game preview.
Before we get to our picks for this juicy sorta-rivalry week of games, let's dive into our Week 15 picks and review:
IFL Week 15 Review
San Diego +7.5 - Winner
San Diego wins outright, 43-39
Iowa-FISH Under 85.5 - Winner
Combined for 68 points
SA-TUL Over 75.5 - Winner
Combined for 79 points
Tucson +15.5 - Winner
Tucson wins outright, 35-28
Northern Arizona -4.5 - Loser
NAZ chokes away a 10-pt lead and loses, 32-35
Jacksonville -7.5 - Loser
Orlando wins wire-to-wire, 54-42
A 4-0 Saturday followed by an 0-2 Sunday. #TheIndoorWar ain't for the faint of heart, folks!
San Diego & Tucson had big homedog wins against their likely playoff foes, while Jacksonville made a gamble at QB that didn't quite pan out (yet). But we'll take 4-2. You never go broke making a profit and Week 15 was another good week for OTW picks.
But this upcoming slate is a big one. SEVEN GAMES. We've gone 6-1 three times this season, but is this the one where we capture the great white buffalo that is 7-0.
WHY NOT US? LET'S FIND SOME WINNERS!
2026 IFL Record: 53-31
Fishers Freight @ Green Bay Blizzard (Saturday 6/27 @ 5:00PM ET)
The Play: Green Bay -2.5
The Blizzard have been an outstanding team at home against the spread recently, as they are 6-1 ATS this season, and 25-8-1 since 2023 (big thanks to our pal and #FriendOfTheProgram Alec from Sports Coast to Coast for that pull).
They go up against a Fishers team that needs a win badly to stay in the mix in the playoff race, but this Green Bay team will be fresh off of a bye week and will be looking to maintain pace in their own race for the number one seed in the Eastern Conference.
Green Bay is already 2-0 against Fishers this year (both straight up & ATS as underdogs), so let's go with them yet again until the well runs dry.
Prediction: 49-42 Green Bay
Tulsa Oilers @ Iowa Barnstormers (Saturday 6/27 @ 8:00PM ET)
The Play: Under 82.5
Tulsa coming in white hot riding a 5-game winning streak, with the offense really dominating the line of scrimmage and controlling the pace and tempo of their games.
Meanwhile in Iowa, not so much. They've been sluggish and having trouble getting going while averaging 12.3 PPG in their last 3 games.
Now put them up against an opportunistic Oilers defense that is flying around the field coming off of their best game of the season, it doesn't look great for fans of points.
The Over barely hit the last time these two teams played in Tulsa, so I am not going to tempt the gambling gods yet again. Under under under.
Prediction: 48-26 Tulsa
San Antonio Gunslingers @ Vegas Knight Hawks (Saturday 6/27 @ 9:00PM ET)
The Play: Over 83.5
This is going to be a very telling game for the Vegas Knight Hawks. They bring back the dynamic RB Antonio Wimbush from their 2025 championship roster, but place Josh Tomas on IR. This is a prime opportunity for them to get back on track and re-gain some of their offensive mojo that has quite been the same in their two recent losses.
Defensively, they had a massive shake up across the entire defense and have brought in a bunch of new faces, which usually means there will be at least a small adjustment window.
For San Antonio, that is great news for an offense that has been struggling this season as a whole. This is going to be a tall task but their season is essentially riding on this game. They lose this one, they are almost certainly out of the playoff hunt.
I think Vegas wins this one comfortably, but I like the Over more than the spread.
Prediction: 53-33 Vegas
New Mexico Chupacabras @ Arizona Rattlers (Saturday 6/27 @ 10:00PM ET)
The Play: Under 79.5
The Chups vs the Snakes. A game that was extremely lopsided in the IFL Cup and can probably anticipate more of the same here.
Arizona offense hasn't been fully clicking on all cylinders lately due to some injuries and just poor play in some spots, but this is the ultimate get right game for them as they enter the final stretch of the season.
New Mexico's offense hasn't really been all that impressive outside of their May 31st home game vs San Diego, and they get put up against a defense that has been playing really great so far this season and seems to be getting better.
Rattlers win while keeping the Chups under 25, but we'll have to see how the Rattlers offense looks in this one.
Prediction: 45-23 Arizona
Tucson Sugar Skulls @ Northern Arizona Wranglers (Sunday 6/28 @ 4:00PM ET)
The Play: Tucson -3.5
Every week there seems to be one or two lines that just jump off the page, and every week for the past 3+ weeks it has been the Tucson spread for me.
Tucson is the hottest team in the West right now and they are going up against a NAZ team that hasn't won a game in-conference all season and just fired their head coach.
...and it's only 3.5? I'm not gonna over think it. Gimme Ja'Rome, Mackey, & Co for a double digit win.
Prediction: 46-34 Tucson
Orlando Pirates @ Quad City Steamwheelers (Sunday 6/28 @ 4:00PM ET)
The Play: Orlando -1.5
The rumor mill coming out of Moline is that QB Daquan Neal will be out for this one and potentially beyond due to injury, which would mean QB Judd Roberts would be getting this start in this one. Offensively, the shift from Neal to Roberts is one that should have somewhat of a holistic change in which I would anticipate fewer designed QB runs and likely more quick passes to the outside -- which might actually be a great benefit to QC.
Orlando is hot on offense right now and seem to have finally found a combination on defense that is starting to mesh well together after a dominant performance vs the Sharks last week. While I have had my hesitations about their inability to consistently win games on the road this year, this feels like a Must Win for them for their playoff lives.
This has the making of a Loser Goes Home game, where both teams need the win badly to stay afloat. Gimme Orlando winning on the road.
Prediction: 48-43 Orlando
San Diego Strike Force @ Jacksonville Sharks (Sunday 6/28 @ 7:30PM ET)
The Play: San Diego ML +114
Ah yes, the pick that will make several individuals in Duval County shake their fist in my general direction.
San Diego looked great against Vegas last week, but especially on the defensive line. They were getting after Jayden DeLaura with a ton of pressure and really put the Knight Hawks offense behind the sticks multiple times. And when you look at Jacksonville's loss last week, the Orlando defensive line was teeing off on them in a similar fashion. This'll be Game 2 of the Sammy Edwards era and it is going to be a tough draw against a Strike Force team that has been quietly putting together one of the more impressive seasons in 2026.
The game will be decided at the line of scrimmage and I really like the Strike Force in this game and beyond, so let's see if I regret this one or not.
Prediction: 47-40 San Diego
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