IFL Week 12 Picks
- offthewallfbpod
- Jun 6
- 5 min read
What a week of IFL we've got ahead of us, including a STACKED six-game slate on Saturday night that will be a ton of fun. We got a little bit of our mojo back last week and will look to build on it with all 14 teams in action this weekend.
Before we dive into this week's picks, let's see how we did last week:
IFL Week 11 Review
Jacksonville-Massachusetts Over 78.5 - Loser
Combined for 72 points (and "didn't break the plane" with under a minute to go)
Fishers-Green Bay Over 90.5 - Winner
Combined for 94 points
Tulsa ML - Loser
Quad City wins 31-27
Vegas +3 - Winner
Vegas wins outright, 52-37
Northern Arizona +6.5 - Winner
San Diego wins 35-32, Northern Arizona covers
Tucson -4.5 - Loser
San Antonio wins outright, 48-28
3-3 is not too shabby and a decent bounce back from the cold streak we found ourselves in in the weeks leading up to last week. Tulsa simply laying an egg hurt and, in hindsight, the Sharks playing their second road game in 5 days with a banged up roster should have been the red flag for me to take the Under -- but we move on and we LEARN from our mistakes (then repeat them again)
Week 12 is our oyster and we've gotta find some pearls. I can smell a 5-2 week coming, we need it. LET'S FIND SOME WINNERS!
2025 IFL Record: 32-29
Iowa Barnstormers vs Green Bay Blizzard (Friday 6/6 @ 8:05PM ET)
The Play: Over 94.5
While Iowa is one of the more puzzling teams in the entire IFL, they have been remarkably consistent -- going 7-1 in Overs this season thanks to a big play offense and the worst scoring defense in the league (giving up 55.0 PPG).
Meanwhile, Green Bay's offense has been moving and grooving this year and I would expect to see more of the same in this one. Double digit favorites have performed pretty well this year in the IFL, but the threat of another Iowa backdoor cover against Green Bay is too much for my heart to handle. Let's root for points and let's see how Iowa collapses this week.
Prediction: 56-48 Green Bay
Quad City Steamwheelers vs San Antonio Gunslingers (Saturday 6/7 @ 7:05PM ET)
The Play: Under 75.5
This is a very, very low number. In fact it is the lowest of the season...BUT!
Totals in the 70s are 10-5 on the Under in the IFL this year and Quad City's defense has been playing very, very good so far this season - giving up 37.9 PPG. The Steamwheelers offense is very much run-first and was in a slugfest vs Tulsa last week.
San Antonio also just reactivated DB Ravarius Rivers after his stint in the UFL, giving their defense a much needed boost. Picking the Under on the lowest point total of the season takes courage, but I'm not afraid. Gimme it!
Prediction: 39-33 Quad City
Arizona Rattlers vs Jacksonville Sharks (Saturday 6/7 @ 7:05PM ET)
The Play: Rattlers -1.5
Both of these teams have seen some roster shake ups over the past few weeks, with some very, very notable ones:
Sharks - Released QB Kaleb Barker, place two DLs on IR, signed DL Brandon Munoz
Rattlers - Signed LB Makel Calhoun (from Vegas), brought back OL Lamar Mady, activated WR Corey Reed Jr off IR
To me, the Rattlers got better with their moves and the Sharks are switch some things around, especially on offense. I think the Rattlers go in and get a big bounce back win after a tough loss to Vegas last week, but wouldn't be surprised if the Sharks make it interesting late in the game.
Prediction: 44-38 Arizona
Massachusetts Pirates vs Fishers Freight (Saturday 6/7 @ 7:05PM ET)
The Play: Over 82.5
We've got quiet the matchup here when it comes to sports betting record this season:
Massachusetts Unders are quietly going 7-1 so far this year
Fishers Overs are less quietly 7-2 this season
SOMETHING HAS GOT TO GIVE! Which game was the one Pirates game that went Over earlier this season, you say? Fishers!
Pirates got into a good rhythm last week by running the ball A LOT & playing tough defense (against a beat up / rough Sharks team), while Fishers has a new QB that is giving their offense some hope. Fishers QB Carlos Davis looked good in first action of the season, and I think he'll look even better in this one.
Let's hope the black magic of Fishers Overs can overcome the voodoo of Massachusetts Unders.
Prediction: 48-43 Massachusetts
Tulsa Oilers vs Bay Area Panthers (Saturday 6/7 @ 9:05PM ET)
The Play: Tulsa +8.5
Both of these defenses have been playing good ball this year and both offenses have had their highs and lows, with Bay Area being a really dominant force in their recent run of games before their bye week and Tulsa really only struggling against Quad City on offense beyond the first two weeks of the season.
Rumor has it that RB Martez Carter might be making his season debut for the Oilers in this game, which would be a HUGE lift for this running game.
I think we see a bounce back game from Tulsa that will be a one possession game, I'm just not sure which way. Bay Area is still gonna Bay Area.
Prediction: 44-41 Bay Area
Vegas Knight Hawks vs Northern Arizona Wranglers (Saturday 6/7 @ 9:05PM ET)
The Play: Over 83.5
I really like where this Vegas offense is at right now, especially after scoring on every offensive possession last week as they beat the Rattlers. They are really clicking with Jayden De Laura at QB right now, but I also like what Ramon Atkins is doing for Northern Arizona.
This pick defies betting logic -- with Northern Arizona Overs being 1-8 & Vegas Overs being 3-6 on the season -- but it just feels right.
Idk man, just gotta go with your gut sometimes, right?
Prediction: 49-43 Vegas
San Diego Strike Force vs Tucson Sugar Skulls (Saturday 6/7 @ 9:05PM ET)
The Play: Under 82.5
This bet really rides or dies on one key thing: Does Rudy Johnson get the start again at QB?
If the answer is yes, you can expect a ball control, run-heavy offense from San Diego after they ran the ball nearly 40 times last week and Johnson had over 100 rushing yards.
For Tucson, they have a similar approach on offense and will look to bounce back after getting boatraced by San Antonio last week. Lots of running the ball from both offenses and defenses that are playing really good football this season. Unders have played well for both Tucon & San Diego this year, so let's do it one more time.
Prediction: 38-34 San Diego
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