AF1 Week 7 Picks
- offthewallfbpod
- Apr 25
- 4 min read
We had a FULL 4-game slate last weekend and we are blessed with another one this upcoming weekend. The season is humming along and we have had a good run without any nonsense, so naturally some type of shenanigans was due to sprout it's head.
But that's not what brings us here to day. We're here to do two things:
Pick winners & chew bubblegum...and we're all out of bubblegum.
Here's how the Week 6 picks went:
AF1 Week 6 Review
Nashville-Washington Over 72.5 - Winner
Combined for 88 points
Oregon-Salina Under 78.5 - Loser
Combined for 79 points... pain.
SW Kansas-Corpus Christi O81.5 - Winner
Combined for 87 points
Billings +9.5 - Loser
Albany wins & covers, 39-7
Nashville carried us in that Thursday night game and Billings just played dead on Vice TV for the second consecutive week.
And thanks a lot Oregon for deciding turn score half your points in garbage time! Under was the move and YOU RUINED IT!!!
Sorry, I didn't mean to yell. Half point losses on totals in games like that are more brutal than the half points wins are sweet.
But 2-2 on the week is a 'survive and advance' type of week, but I feel a 4-0 sweep coming.
LET'S FIND SOME WINNERS!
2025 AF1 Record: 11-8
Salina Liberty vs Billings Outlaws (Friday 4/25 @ 8 PM ET)
The Play: Over 78.5
I'm gonna be honest with you all, I wasn't sure how to pick this game. The Billings offense has been in shambles the past couple of weeks, so it seems like the Under was the pick. Combined that with no Shawn McFarlane (IR) and certainly the Under is the move right?
Not so fast my friend, this is one of those scenarios where you have to know when to fade your brain -- at least your brain's initial thoughts.
Salina's offense finally turned the corner last week with QB Rakeem Cato at the reins and being the facilitator for the team, and while the defense has been playing strong, DL Henry Kellogg just got put on the 'Other League Excempt' list (presumably for the IFA) -- so that pass rush isn't going to be as ferocious as it has been in recent weeks.
I think we see a game where Billings offense wakes up and Rakeem Cato keeps the Liberty offense flowing. Idk who is gonna win, but I think we see a point total in the high 80s.
Prediction: 46-40 Billings
Albany Firebirds vs Corpus Christi Tritons (Friday 4/25 @ 8 PM ET)
The Play: Albany -5.5
Don't over think this one (like I might have done the last one).
Albany is the class of the league and apparently not all is well in Corpus Christi off the field, and this -5.5 was a no brainer line even without that. Corpus Christi is a good team with great talent, but if you give me Albany with a one score spread against anybody right now -- I'm taking the Firebirds.
Don't over think this one.
Prediction: 51-38 Firebirds
Washington Wolfpack vs Oregon Lightning (Friday 4/25 @ 9:30 PM ET)
The Play: Oregon -6.5
This Washington offense drives me absolutely insane. I've let it be known over the past few weeks how they have been just hurting themselves and being their own worst enemy, but this week there was a roster shake up that was caused by an apparent 'escalated incident' behind closed doors that tilts this game heavily in favor of the Lightning.
Oregon has been much more consistent on offense this season and continues to add pieces to their team to get try to get back into the win column, and I think this is one that they will be able to win comfortably for their first home win.
This one is so #AF1AfterDark coded that it hurts.
P.S. If the Wolfpack trot out Rodney Raines as their starting QB in this game, I am going to declare war on the state of Washington.
Prediction: 41-25 Oregon
Nashville Kats vs Southwest Kansas Storm (Saturday 4/26 @ 7 PM ET)
The Play: Over 80.5
We get a rematch of Week 0 in this one and Nashville is a totally different squad than what was on display then. As discussed on this week's show (like & subscribe plz thank u), Nashville has their guy at QB in Tyler Kulka and he has been the ultimate facilitator for that offense.
They are able to run the ball really well and have a very balanced attack while really being able to win the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.
Southwest Kansas is also coming into this game with a hot hand on offense, with QB Jalen Morton throwing for 260+ yards & 6 TDs last week against Corpus Christi. Both offenses are humming along and really hitting their stride, so I think we see a really great game here and should come down to the final moments (as most Southwest Kansas games tend to do.. **starts mildly sweating**)
Prediction: 48-43 Nashville
Let's have ourselves a weekend. Agree? Disagree? Are you riding or fading?
コメント