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IFL Week 11 Betting Picks

Week 9, we went 3-5. Last week (spoiler alert), we also went 3-5.

There are lots of great 35s in the history books:

  • OKC era Kevin Durant

  • Legendary quote machine Yogi Berra

  • The speedy Rickey Henderson

  • "The Big Hurt" Frank Thomas

  • Justin "Kate Upton's Husband" Verlander

  • JFK was the 35th US President


See, I'm in great company! The joke is on YOU for NOT going 3-5 every week.

sobs quietly under my breath


Week 10 Review

Iowa Barnstormers vs. Quad City Steamwheelers - Over 90.5 - Winner

  • Combined for 112 points


Northern Arizona Wranglers vs Massachusetts Pirates - Pirates -6 - Loser

  • Northern Arizona wins outright by 1


Frisco Fighters vs Green Bay Blizzard - Under 86.5 - Loser

  • Combined for 105 points


Tulsa Oilers vs San Antonio Gunslingers - Over 101.5 - Loser

  • Combined for 97 points


Sioux Falls Storms vs Jacksonville Sharks - Over 83.5 - Winner

  • Combined for 92 points


Vegas Knight Hawks vs Tucson Sugar Skulls - Over 93.5 - Winner

  • Combined for 101 points


Bay Area Panthers vs Arizona Rattlers - Under 88.5 - Loser

  • Combined for 120 points


Duke City Gladiators vs San Diego Strike Force - Duke City +13.5 - Loser

  • San Diego wins by 26


Duke City had a chance to cover but did everything in their power to mess it up. Bay Area went Super Saiyan on Arizona and killed the Under almost by themselves. Tulsa didn't wake up until the 3rd quarter. Just a tough week.


To clear my head of the 3-5 funk I have found myself in these past couple of weeks, I went for a walk around my neighborhood. Walked past some of the local youths playing pick up basketball, gave the white-guy-nod to a couple of folks doing some lawn maintenance and really started to think about the future. That's when it hit me:


What if I just win all my picks this week? What if I simply chose all of the correct selections and went 6-0 this week?


That's it. It's been decided. WE ARE GOING 6-0 THIS WEEK!


2024 IFL Record: 30-33


LET'S FIND SOME WINNERS!





Green Bay Blizzard vs Iowa Barnstormers (Friday 5/24, 7:05PM CT)


The Play: Over 80.5


How I am going to look if I pick another Green Bay game incorrectly.


A Green Bay Over? Are you serious, Off The Wall?


Yes I am! Green Bay is fresh off of a 67 point performance against Frisco, but that alone isn't the reason for picking the Over here. Iowa's offense looked GREAT last week for the first time all year and QB Kyle King was FLINGING IT around the yard.


Iowa's point totals the last 3 games: 55, 42, 55.

Granted, those weren't against the Blizzard's number one defense, but Iowa's season is basically on the line in this one. If they don't win this game, they are basically out of the playoff hunt. Expect them to be AGGRESSIVE with their playcalling and force Green Bay to stay on the offensive.


Prediction: 48-42 Green Bay



Tulsa Oilers vs Massachusetts Pirates (Saturday 5/25, 6:05PM CT)


The Play: Tulsa +10


DRILL BABY DRILL!


Tulsa has really been letting me down lately, but the data says that the Oilers are the move here. Massachusetts is 2-6 ATS this year and have not looked like the Pirates of the past on offense this year. They've only broken the 50 point threshold once and the offense has lived solely through the RB Jimmie Robinson the past couple of weeks.


Tulsa broke in a new (old?) QB last week in Andre Sale, and while he looked rusty in the first half, the offense came alive in the second half behind Sale's 6 passing TDs on the day.


Double digit favorites are 5-7 ATS on the year so far in the IFL, with 4 of the underdogs winning outright. This is do or die time for Tulsa as well, as they need to start piecing together some wins soon if they want to stay alive in the playoff hunt this season.


Prediction: 47-42 Tulsa



Duke City Gladiators vs Arizona Rattlers (Saturday 5/25, 8:05PM CT)


The Play: Duke City +14.5



THEM DUKE BOYS


I hate that I am doing this again. I really do. Duke City just collapsed last week and did everything they could to not cover, but THIS WEEK WILL BE DIFFERENT!! (I hope)


The Arizona Rattlers are a staggering 1-7 ATS this season and their defense has been sus for the majority of the year so far.


Duke City also acquired WR Tamorrion Terry from the Jacksonville Sharks earlier this week, giving QB Joe Mancuso another weapon to utilize on offense to keep up with the Rattlers. I think we see a Mancuso bounce back game and they at the very least keep it within 2 scores.


Prediction: 48-45 Arizona



San Antonio Gunslingers vs Bay Area Panthers (Saturday 5/25, 8:05PM CT)


The Play: Under 106.5


The Panthers defense when you present a 106.5 point total


Lol, 106.5. That is so many points, but I get it! Panthers are fresh off of scoring 68 last week and San Antonio QB Sam Castronova seems to throw 7 TDs every week.


Stephen A Smith voice HOWEVA!


Bay Area is going to be the best defense that San Antonio will likely play all year. Bay Area Unders are 5-3 on the year and their offense has been flowing through RB Shane Simpson and I think you will see an intentional effort by Coach Keefe & Co to extend drives and keep Castronova on the sidelines as long he can. He can't hurt you if he isn't on the field.


This will probably start slow and then take off like a rocket in the 3rd quarter, but this will be a fun one regardless.


Prediction: 50-45 Bay Area



Tucson Sugar Skulls vs Northern Arizona Wranglers (Saturday 5/25, 8:05PM CT)


The Play: Over 88.5


Skulls.


I think we are at the starting line of an unreal Tucson Sugar Skulls run over the next couple of weeks. QB Mylik Mitchell is a couple games into being back from that lower body injury and started to get in rhythm last week in the air and on the ground. RB Mike Jones had a good game last week and RB Davonte Sapp-Lynch has been working his way into the rotation the past couple weeks as well.


Josh Jones has also continued to play really well and was slinging it last week to his offensive playmakers. These two teams combined for 102 points the first time they played this season in Week 3, and I think we something similar this weekend.


Prediction: 52-47 Tucson



Frisco Fighters vs San Diego Strike Force (Sunday 5/26, 5:05PM CT)


The Play: San Diego +1



Strike Force vs Fighters -- DANGER ZONEEEEE!


San Diego's stock has been on the rise for the past couple of weeks, while Frisco's took a tumble vs the Blizzard.


I doubt that we see TJ Edwards back at QB this week for Frisco, and Fighters just couldn't pass the ball last week. San Diego caused havoc on defense against Duke City and is looking like they'll be able to do some of the same this week.


Plus, Nate Davis as a homedog? Yes please.


Prediction: 51-42 San Diego



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